Technical Analysis
Realized Volatility Profiles: Futures
Today I will introduce an aspect of volatility that you most likely have not seen being addressed anywhere else: realized volatility profiles. First up let’s make sure you all understand what realized volatility (RV) is and how it compares to implied volatility (IV). Simply RV measures the amount and amplitude of price change observed in […]
The Sweet Spot
In the past weeks I have been seeing an increasing amount of charts by analysts predicting an impending large scale correction. There is much talk about turn dates, ominous death crosses, and what have you. I for one have played my part as my long term analysis suggests the possibility of a wipeout, but to […]
Technical Analysis: Basic Concepts Every Trader Must Know – Part 2
A few weeks ago, I covered an important technical analysis concept every trader must know- trend lines. In case you missed it, the value in recognizing trends lies in realizing the market’s overall direction. Once you realize which way the market is trending, you can join that trend in search of profits. If the trend […]
Technical Analysis: Basic Concepts Every Trader Must Know – Part 1
There are two types of analysis when it comes to commodity investing- technical and fundamental. Fundamental analysis involves researching underlying real world factors that help determine the price of a certain commodity. For example, the USDA’s monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) reports provide essential fundamental data that helps investors determine grain prices. […]
Technical Analysis: Is Crude Ready To Run Over $100?
Remember that potentially explosive chart of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude I showed you a few days ago? Well, it’s about to get even more interesting. But before I show you what’s in store for crude trading this week, let me quickly recap the long-term technical chart… As you can see in the weekly chart […]
How Low Could The Markets Go? The Answer May Shock You…
Well, in terms of market performance, President Obama’s second term isn’t exactly starting off on the right foot. Since he won reelection, it’s fair to say stocks have been in free fall. In fact, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is down over 600 points, while the technology heavy Nasdaq is down 160 points. And let’s […]
Technical Analysis: What A Trend Change Really Means
The S&P 500 had a great run this summer. Over a three month period from June 4th to September 15th, the large cap index shot up 16%. During that time, the S&P set a series of higher highs and higher lows. And it established a strong uptrend. But what a difference a few weeks can […]
Investors Need To Watch This Chart VERY Closely!
Times are about to get tough for the US Dollar… After Ben Bernanke’s quantitative easing (QE) announcement a few weeks ago, investors the world over are becoming overwhelmingly bearish on the greenback. It makes sense of course, as the Federal Reserve is likely embarking on one of the biggest money printing campaigns in global financial […]
Read This Before You Buy Another Stock
It’s been a little more than a week since Fed Chairman Bernanke revealed his plan for a third round of quantitative easing. As expected, the S&P 500 jumped higher in the days following the announcement. However, after the initial surge, the S&P 500 has done little more than tread water. In fact, the large cap […]
Sectors To Watch: Public Sector Jobs Growth
Unless you’re living under a rock, you’ve noticed election year politics are starting to heat up. And the central issue for the majority of voters is jobs. As you know, the unemployment rate has been stuck at a stubbornly high level in the aftermath of the great recession. According to Gallup’s unemployment data, 8% of […]
